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Journal Article 8

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agricultural development 1

agricultural development strategy，modern agriculture，smart agriculture，ecological agriculture 1

agricultural labor productivity 1

agricultural resource balance 1

development strategy 1

energy saving 1

food consumption structure 1

food security 1

future agriculture 1

global agricultural development，China’s agricultural outlook，rural transformation，food supply and demand forecast，agricultural modernization 1

high-valued agriculture 1

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mid-long term 1

modern breeding based on bioengineering 1

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Strategies for China’s Agricultural Development Toward 2050

The Comprehensive Group for Research on Agricultural Development Strategy in China by 2050

Strategic Study of CAE 2022, Volume 24, Issue 1, Pages 1-10 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2022.01.001

Abstract: China and forecast the target, direction, and path of China’s agricultural modernization toward 2050This implies that, toward 2050, China should stick to the principles of innovation, green, high efficiencynew type of industrialization, informationization, urbanization, and agricultural modernization by 2050as opportunities and challenges ahead, pursued to clarify the phased development goals for 2035 and 2050Self-sufficiency rate of main agricultural products by 2035 and 2050 (%).

Keywords： agricultural development 2050 food security high-valued agriculture modern breeding based on bioengineering

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Sketch of mid-long term (2030, 2050) development strategy study of hydropower in China

Yan Zhiyong, Qian Gangliang

Strategic Study of CAE 2011, Volume 13, Issue 6, Pages 108-112

Abstract:

Based on the hydropower potential and distribution features,analyze the status and role of hydropower in China, review the history of hydropower development and current situation, contrast and analyze the differences of hydropower development in China and some other overseas countries, present strategy route and target and key point of hydropower development in China and present measures and suggestions to hydropower development in future.

Keywords： hydropower resources hydropower development target key point support measures

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Agricultural Resource Balance and International Import Potential of China by 2050

Zheng Haixia, You Fei, Luo Qiyou, Tang Huajun

Strategic Study of CAE 2022, Volume 24, Issue 1, Pages 20-28 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2022.01.003

Abstract: investigate food consumption demand, consumption structure, and supply structure in China by 2035 and 2050The agricultural resource utilization targets for China by 2035 and 2050 are proposed based on an analysis

Keywords： agricultural resource balance food consumption structure virtual water virtual arable land import potential

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System analysis of the mid-long term (2030,2050) energy saving strategy of China

Ma Linwei, Li Zheng, Ni Weidou, Fu Feng

Strategic Study of CAE 2011, Volume 13, Issue 6, Pages 25-29

Abstract:

The main reason of energy demand growth in China from the perspective of life cyce of society was analyzed. After that, the basic concept of energy saving for China was analyzed, and the importantce to distinguish the construction energy consumption and the operation energy consumption were pointed out. Then, the strategic goal of mid-long term energy saving of China, and three ways to implement it were proposed and they were: institutional energy saving, systematic energy saving and technological energy saving. And a case study of systematic energy saving for the problem of the life time of domestic building was also introduced.

Keywords： energy saving development strategy system analysis

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The mid-long term (2030, 2050) development of renewable energy in China: Strategic target and roadmap

Huang Qili,Gao Hu,Zhao Yongqiang

Strategic Study of CAE 2011, Volume 13, Issue 6, Pages 88-94

Abstract: technological roadmap, key areas and enabling policies for renewable energy development by 2030 and 2050supplementary energy now to alternative energy by 2020, mainstream energy by 2030 and dominative energy by 2050

Keywords： renewable energy mid-long term strategic target roadmap

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Development Visions and Policies of China’s Agriculture by 2050

Huang Jikun, Hu Ruifa, Yi Hongmei, Sheng Yu, Wang Jinxia, Bao Mingtao, Liu Xu

Strategic Study of CAE 2022, Volume 24, Issue 1, Pages 11-19 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2022.01.002

Abstract:

To achieve common prosperity, we need to equalize the labor productivity in agriculture with that in other non-agricultural sectors. China’s agricultural labor productivity is less than 1/3 of that in the manufacturing and service industries. Our analysis on the trend of agricultural development suggests that it is essential to raise the agricultural labor productivity through internal labor division to ensure national food security. The breeding industry needs to transform toward scaled and modernized development and the planting industry needs to change to a new pattern—20% of large-scale farmers produce 80% of agricultural products or contribute 20% of added value while 80% of small-scale farmers produce 20% of agricultural products or contribute 80% of added value. Large-scale farmers mainly produce bulk agricultural products including grain to ensure food security while small-scale farmers develop highvalue agriculture to ensure income growth. Eventually, the labor productivity of large- and small-scale farmers will converge to achieve common prosperity, which is inevitable for China’s agricultural development and is an ideal vision in line with national realities. However, the task of transforming to the new pattern is arduous, and the government needs to make major strategic deployments and introduce corresponding safeguards and incentive measures. Particularly, it is necessary to establish a policy support system for large- and small-scale farmers, accelerate the progress of urban-rural integrated development, improve the land transfer markets, optimize the innovative system of agricultural science and technology as well as the human capacity building system, and establish an organizational guarantee system to realize agricultural modernization.

Keywords： future agriculture planting industry 80/20 pattern agricultural labor productivity

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Trends of Global Agriculture and Prospects of China’s Agriculture Toward 2050

Huang Jikun, Xie Wei, Sheng Yu, Wang Xiaobing, Wang Jinxia, Liu Chengfang, Hou Lingling

Strategic Study of CAE 2022, Volume 24, Issue 1, Pages 29-37 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2022.01.004

Abstract: China’s agricultural development history and prospects China’s agricultural development by 2050By 2050, the share of agriculture GDP in China’s total economy and the share of agricultural employmentself-sufficiency rate will drop from the current 95% to about 90% in 2035 and will further drop by 2050The strategic priorities for realizing China’s agricultural modernization by 2050 include: (1)

Keywords： global agricultural development，China’s agricultural outlook，rural transformation，food supply and demand forecast，agricultural modernization

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High-Quality Development of Modern Smart Ecological Agriculture

Liu Xu, Li Wenhua, Zhao Chunjiang, Min Qingwen, Yang Xinting, Liu Moucheng

Strategic Study of CAE 2022, Volume 24, Issue 1, Pages 38-45 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2022.01.006

Abstract:

To realize rural revitalization, this article analyzes the trends of China’s agricultural product demand, agricultural industrial structure, and agricultural labor demand in the next 30 years, and proposes that China should insist on the development of modern smart ecological agriculture in the future. To ensure national food security and achieve sustainable development of a high-efficiency, green, and high-value agriculture, China should promote agricultural efficiency improvement, system optimization, and efficient recycling of resources. It is necessary to reconstruct four systems: innovative agricultural science and technology, modern agricultural management, socialized agricultural service, and new-era agricultural personnel systems. Biological, equipment, ecological, and information technologies should be innovated to improve the agriculture sector. Furthermore, five major projects are recommended including pilot demonstration project for modern smart ecological agriculture, modern production and living waste treatment project, high-quality development monitoring and evaluation project for the whole agricultural industry chain, planting and breeding combined project led by breeding enterprises, and agricultural and rural personnel cultivation project.

Keywords： agricultural development strategy，modern agriculture，smart agriculture，ecological agriculture

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Title Author Date Type Operation

Strategies for China’s Agricultural Development Toward 2050

The Comprehensive Group for Research on Agricultural Development Strategy in China by 2050

Journal Article

Sketch of mid-long term (2030, 2050) development strategy study of hydropower in China

Yan Zhiyong, Qian Gangliang

Journal Article

Agricultural Resource Balance and International Import Potential of China by 2050

Zheng Haixia, You Fei, Luo Qiyou, Tang Huajun

Journal Article